A weaker La Niña will contribute to a milder winter, and drought conditions may only ease in the short term
As the glistening golds of fall have just started to drape the landscape of southwest Colorado, weather updates for the coming months are here – and the Four Corners region is forecast for a milder winter.
Residents of southwest Colorado may not have to prepare for winter storms until later in December and January, according to AccuWeather’s 2021-2022 winter forecast, published Wednesday.
At this point, northwestern storms could carry precipitation to the Four Corners area, delivering snow to ski resorts in Colorado, Utah, New Mexico and Arizona.
La Niña is weaker this year, which contributes to milder winter conditions. Long-term drought in the southwestern United States will likely be temporarily mitigated by precipitation from winter storms – unless the rainy season persists unusually long, according to the report.
“There will be storms coming down in the Four Corners area, similar to what we saw last year – times when it’s dry, times when we see certain systems,” said senior meteorologist at AccuWeather, Paul Pastelok. The newspaper September 10. “I’m not expecting a great year, but I think it could be cold and there can be snow from time to time. “
Pastelok said some October storms would impact higher elevations, particularly in northern Colorado.
Less snowfall is expected in the northern Rockies. After experiencing its snowiest winter in 37 years last year, snowfall in Denver is expected to return to more normal levels, according to the report.
AccuWeather’s monthly forecast on Wednesday predicts that the first local snowfall will occur on November 18.
Fall forecast updates
The San Juan National Forest has changed the way it delivers its Fall Colors Report, which describes the color transformation of local fall leaves, and can be found at bit.ly/SJNFFallColorReport. Instead of using percentages, the report will now snap to the language used in a interactive map of the Smoky Mountains. This map allows users to switch between dates to see projected fall foliage levels across the United States, and can be found at: https://smokymountains.com/fall-foliage-map/ .
Leaf colors are classified as: no change, minimal, uneven, partial, near peak, peak or post peak.
- Durango in Purgatory: minimal.
- From Purgatory to the Coal Bank: Uneven.
- Coal Bank to Molas Pass: partial.
- Molas Pass in Silverton: near the peak.
- Silverton to Red Mountain Pass: summit.
- Col du Mont Rouge in Ouray: peak.
- Rico to Telluride: partial.
- Telluride to Ouray (Dallas Divide): partial.
- Missionary ridge: near the peak.
- Canyon de la Plata: minimal.